Aliso Viejo, CA – October 27, 2008
The subprime meltdown, Wachovia, Lehman Brothers, Countrywide, AIG, Bear Stearns … the list goes on and on. And then there was the Emergency Economic
Stabilization Act 2008 – the mother of all bailouts. Everything is so uncertain
as the real estate industry tries to navigate through these uncharted
waters. Well not everything is
uncertain. Fortunes will be made and
lost in the months ahead as investors make their move, like Warren Buffet’s
move to bail out Goldman Sachs with $5 billion on sweetheart terms.
But wealth is
more than a balance sheet.
Wealth is
relative. It is a concept which is defined largely by the economic, social,
geographic and educational background of the person attempting to define it. So
maybe we should consider it a perception or an ideal, which often changes as we
age, become more educated, raise families or even move from one location to
another.
American
sociologist Leonard Beeghley defines “the rich” as
households with a net worth exceeding $1 million dollars. Yet, even using this
simple baseline measurement can be controversial as many economists and
statisticians argue over how a household’s net worth is calculated. For instance, one of the two most commonly
used measurements counts the total value of all property owned by a household
minus the household's debts. According to this definition, a household owning
an $800k home, $50k in furnishing, two cars worth $60k, a $60k IRA, $45k in
mutual funds and a $325k vacation home with a $250k mortgage, $40k in car loans
and $25k in credit card debt would be worth $1,025,000.
Following that
logic every individual in this household would be a millionaire. But take the family home out of the equation
and maybe not.
With the exception
of the lower end of the market, the vast majority of luxury home buyers fit
into the category of a high-net-worth
individual (HNWI) – an individual with a net worth in excess of $1 million
dollars (excluding their personal residence). In a past survey by the research
group TNS, in the U.S.
a record 9.3 million households reported assets of $1 million dollars or more.
These households on average have a net worth of $2.5 million and a median age
of 59. In another study conducted by the Spectrum Group they found that the
number of household with $5 million dollars or more (excluding personal
residence) grew to include over one million households for the first time in
2007. According to the 2007 World Wealth
Report from Merrill Lynch:
·
HNWI’s grew their net wealth by an average of 11.4%.
·
Globally
the HNWI population grew by 8.3%. The strongest gains were found in the
emerging markets of Africa – 12.5%, the Middle East 11.9% and Latin
America 10.2%.
·
Likely
future leaders for HNWI growth worldwide – China
and India
– saw recent GDP growth rates of 10.5% and 8.8% respectively; the highest in
the world.
·
Worldwide
the Ultra High NWI’s control $13.1 trillion dollars
of wealth. Interestingly this group is
consistently able to grow their net worth faster than all other wealth
accumulators.
Because of
this, in spite of the current economic conditions, worldwide wide wealth is
rapidly consolidating and the rich are getting richer – faster.
The Forbes list of the world’s richest people indicates
that there were 946 billionaires (USD) in the world representing a total net
worth of $3.5 trillion dollars in 2007, and for the first time ever the Top 400
Richest Americans all had a net worth of at least $1 billion dollars.
And while 97% of millionaires are homeowners, only 2% inherited all or any part
of their homes or property.
So it begs the
question … What does it mean for the real
estate industry?
Real estate is
always thought of as a solid investment and with the value of the dollar
against foreign currencies coupled with a depressed real estate market the U.S. real
estate market is coming up on the radar of many luxury home buyers around the
world.
The current
market conditions may very well provide some excellent opportunities in a
number of niche markets and the luxury home segment may very well be one worth
looking into. It is certain that others
around the world have their eyes focused on our market.
To learn more about the luxury home market you may want to
check out the Accredited Luxury Home Specialist (ALHS) from the Luxury Home
Council. You can learn more about this
online real estate course by Clicking Here.